Maryland
W-L: (18- 4) PR = 93.6552Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 9- 5 214 H Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 90.6) 17- 9 218 A Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 10- 7 220 A St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 17-15 228 H Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 16-12 304 A Hofstra Colonial (10- 7, 84.6) 16- 9 307 H James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 13- 6 314 A Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 15- 7 319 H Penn Ivy League ( 8- 8, 89.1) 15- 9 322 H Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 13- 7 326 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 15-12 329 H Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 14-13 404 H Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 18-11 409 H Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 10-11 416 A Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 4-15 418 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 13- 9 422 N Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 10- 9 424 N Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 15-14 426 N Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 7- 8 510 H Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 11- 8 514 H Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 14-10 522 N North Carolina ACC (19- 2, 99.9) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Syracuse 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 4.80
214 H Virginia 17- 9 8 4 + 3.53
218 A Georgetown 10- 7 3 2 0.67
220 A St Josephs (PA) 17-15 2 9 --- -6.68
228 H Princeton 16-12 4 2 1.61
304 A Hofstra 16- 9 7 8 -0.73
307 H James Madison 13- 6 7 4 + 2.84
314 A Oregon 15- 7 8 11 - -2.50
319 H Penn 15- 9 6 6 0.11
322 H Southern California 13- 7 6 8 - -2.49
326 A Johns Hopkins 15-12 3 -2 ++ 4.94
329 H Penn State 14-13 1 2 -0.68
404 H Rutgers 18-11 7 4 + 2.86
409 H Northwestern 10-11 -1 -2 0.89
416 A Michigan 4-15 -11 -2 --- -9.37
418 A Ohio State 13- 9 4 2 1.81
422 N Ohio State 10- 9 1 4 - -2.56
424 N Johns Hopkins 15-14 1 -1 1.57
426 N Northwestern 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.26
510 H Rutgers 11- 8 3 4 -1.14
514 H Navy 14-10 4 2 + 2.00
522 N North Carolina 6-16 -10 -6 - -3.76
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A St Josephs (PA) 17-15 2 9 --- -6.68 416 A Michigan 4-15 -11 -2 --- -9.37 314 A Oregon 15- 7 8 11 - -2.50 322 H Southern California 13- 7 6 8 - -2.49 422 N Ohio State 10- 9 1 4 - -2.56 522 N North Carolina 6-16 -10 -6 - -3.76 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Syracuse 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 4.80 326 A Johns Hopkins 15-12 3 -2 ++ 4.94 214 H Virginia 17- 9 8 4 + 3.53 307 H James Madison 13- 6 7 4 + 2.84 404 H Rutgers 18-11 7 4 + 2.86 426 N Northwestern 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.26 514 H Navy 14-10 4 2 + 2.00 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 9- 5 -6.81 33.36 1.37 0.79 54.68
3 H Virginia ( 8- 9, 90.6) 17- 9 -9.34 30.82 -1.37 0.79 46.39
3 A Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 10- 7 -9.94 30.23 1.37 0.79 49.75
3 A St Josephs (PA ( 7-10, 83.6) 17-15 -16.29 23.88 1.37 0.79 39.75
3 H Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 16-12 -7.27 32.90 -1.37 0.79 49.66
3 A Hofstra (10- 7, 84.6) 16- 9 -15.34 24.83 1.37 0.79 41.25
3 H James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 13- 6 -9.04 31.13 -1.37 0.79 46.87
3 A Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 15- 7 -18.12 22.05 1.37 0.79 36.88
3 H Penn ( 8- 8, 89.1) 15- 9 -10.76 29.40 -1.37 0.79 44.15
3 H Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 13- 7 -13.37 26.80 -1.37 0.79 40.05
3 A Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 15-12 -5.68 34.49 1.37 0.79 56.47
3 H Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 14-13 -6.55 33.61 -1.37 0.79 50.78
3 H Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 18-11 -9.02 31.15 -1.37 0.79 46.91
3 H Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 10-11 -2.98 37.18 -1.37 0.79 -1.71
3 A Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 4-15 -5.98 34.19 1.37 0.79 -1.82
3 A Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 13- 9 -9.80 30.36 1.37 0.79 49.97
3 N Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 10- 9 -9.80 30.36 -0.00 0.79 47.82
3 N Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 15-14 -5.68 34.49 -0.00 0.79 54.32
3 N Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 7- 8 -2.98 37.18 -0.00 0.79 -1.18
3 H Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 11- 8 -9.02 31.15 -1.37 0.79 46.91
3 H Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 14-10 -6.87 33.29 -1.37 0.79 50.28
3 N North Carolina (19- 2, 99.9) 6-16 -0.00 40.17 -0.00 0.79 -0.00
------
848.21
|
winning pts = 852.9109 losing points = -4.7051
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------